Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.002385 0.002524 0.002672 0.002842 0.003034 0.003246 0.003498
2025-04-27 0.002179 0.002368 0.002581 0.002841 0.003156 0.003531 0.004022
2025-05-04 0.002074 0.002303 0.002571 0.002916 0.003359 0.003930 0.004758
2025-05-11 0.001961 0.002210 0.002511 0.002914 0.003458 0.004204 0.005388
2025-05-18 0.001909 0.002184 0.002525 0.003000 0.003677 0.004676 0.006446
2025-05-25 0.001825 0.002107 0.002467 0.002979 0.003739 0.004921 0.007219
2025-06-01 0.001740 0.002023 0.002389 0.002923 0.003736 0.005060 0.007843
2025-06-08 0.001708 0.002006 0.002398 0.002986 0.003921 0.005550 0.009455
2025-06-15 0.001672 0.001980 0.002392 0.003026 0.004073 0.006018 0.011376
2025-06-22 0.001614 0.001920 0.002335 0.002982 0.004077 0.006198 0.012651
2025-06-29 0.001559 0.001861 0.002275 0.002929 0.004056 0.006318 0.013871
2025-07-06 0.001512 0.001812 0.002226 0.002888 0.004054 0.006481 0.015478
2025-07-13 0.001430 0.001713 0.002104 0.002729 0.003829 0.006112 0.014536
2025-07-20 0.001397 0.001682 0.002081 0.002727 0.003896 0.006454 0.017577
2025-07-27 0.001386 0.001681 0.002099 0.002796 0.004107 0.007231 0.026044
2025-08-03 0.001357 0.001653 0.002077 0.002794 0.004179 0.007672 0.035648
2025-08-10 0.001350 0.001657 0.002102 0.002873 0.004434 0.008791 0.087689
2025-08-17 0.001321 0.001625 0.002072 0.002854 0.004471 0.009229 0.216984
2025-08-24 0.001285 0.001585 0.002025 0.002802 0.004426 0.009356 0.820309
2025-08-31 0.001277 0.001583 0.002039 0.002860 0.004647 0.010675 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001264 0.001574 0.002041 0.002897 0.004824 0.012011 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001236 0.001542 0.002004 0.002857 0.004802 0.012350 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001207 0.001508 0.001964 0.002807 0.004749 0.012501 NaN